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To successfully complete this week’s assignment, please watch my lecture videos
To successfully complete this week’s assignment, please watch my lecture videos (Attached in powerpoint form), and watch YouTube video (i.e., Bayes’ Rule) ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1sxKLrmt6fQ )
before starting if needed.
Topic: Coach’s Decision: UF Women’s Basketball Match
Suppose your team (UF Women’s Basketball Team) trails by two points against University of Connecticut with 8 seconds to go and has the ball. Your assistant coach Victor suggests to attempt 3-point shot because the probability of winning the game with shooting a 2-point shot is lower (0.45 x 0.50 = 0.225 or 22.5%) than a 3-point shot (0.300 or 30%) based on the assumptions below. What is your decision? Should your team attempt a two-point shot or a three-point shot? What other factors might you need to consider?
Assumption 1: UF shot will end the game and that no foul will occur on the shot.
Assumption 2: UF’s 3-point shot historically has a 30% chance of success; 2-point shot has a 45% chance of success in most recent 5 games.
Assumption 3: UF has 50% chance of winning in overtime because this is your home game.
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