Revolutions and Reasons for Their Occurrence

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Revolutions often arise from growing discontent with poverty, inequality, and other similar phenomena. A revolution is a complex process that unexpectedly emerges from a social system that is declining in many areas at once. People maintain the same beliefs to fight those who disagree with them. In general, revolutions seem to be instruments of change and transformation achieved after the struggle against oppression. The main reasons for the emergence of revolutions are the lack of financial resources in households, authoritarian regimes, geographical location, and an absence of freedom when it comes to human rights. A striking example is a recent revolution in Kyrgyzstan when the people revolted because they were dissatisfied with the results of the elections. This country will be compared with its neighbors, while the other country with revolution to compare with neighbors will be Myanmar.

The hypothesis tested through data collection is:

“Neighboring with nondemocratic countries and low income, freedom, and democracy inside the country leads to revolutions”.

Dependent variable: Number of revolutions in the last 10 years.

Independent variable: Neighbor countries (geographical location).

The method used to research the hypothesis is the most similar system design for the examples to prove or disprove it. GDP per capita, political regimes, and human rights (based on the Freedom House rating) are used to describe the current situation in the considered country and its neighbors.

GDP per capita Political Regime Human Rights (0-100) Number of revolutions in the last 10 years
Kyrgystan 1,173 Unofficially Autocratic 38 1
Kazakhstan 9,055 Unofficially Autocratic 23 0
Uzbekistan 1,685 Unofficially Autocratic 11 0
China 10,500 Autocratic 9 0
Tajikistan 859 Unofficially Autocratic 8 1
GDP per capita Political Regime Human Rights (0-100) Number of revolutions in the last 10 years
Myanmar 1,400 Autocratic 28 1
India 1,900 Democratic 67 0
Bangladesh 1,968 Democratic 39 2
China 10,500 Autocratic 9 0
Thailand 7,189 Autocratic 30 1
Laos 2,603 Autocratic 13 0

According to the data received, indeed, the neighbors of Kyrgyzstan and Myanmar have also had revolutions over the past 10 years. Various reasons can lead to these revolutions, since there is no obvious correlation with the number of revolutions in the country (“Countries and Territories”) neither in the indicators of human rights, nor in GDP per capita, nor in the political regime. Nevertheless, it is the geographical position that becomes the determinant by which one can partly judge the possibility of a revolution in the country. This hypothesis is only partially confirmed: the proximity to countries where the revolution has been proven, while low incomes, political regimes or gross product per capita require additional research, an increase in the sample, so that correct conclusions can be drawn.

Works Cited

Freedom House, Web.

Data, Web.

Data, Web.

Data, Web.

Data, Web.

Data, Web.

“Insights by Industry.” GlobalEDGE, Web.

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