Does Social Issues Impact on GDP?

Does Social Issues Impact on GDP?

For the purpose of this essay GDP stand for gross domestic product is defined as the value of all goods and services produced in an economy in a year, according to Professor Jeffry Frankel of Harvard University. This paper will argue whether countries that face social issues affect positively or negatively on the economy. The three main arguments to be presented are war in the Arabic world, unemployment rate, and finally poverty.

I would like to start with civil wars and their impact on GDP. Civil wars have huge humanity and economic costs. According to the Watson Institute, the money that been spent on wars in countries like Iraq, Afghanistan, and Syria is around $5.9 trillion. For example, as it cited on OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries), Syria’s energy sector had declined from start of the civil war from producing approximately 400000barrels/day in 2010 to zero production on 2015 on the mineral sector. Due to the huge losses resulting from the war, the total GDP of Syria was estimated at 226 billion US dollars, according to a study by the United Nations. Furthermore, UNOCHA evaluates that around 22 million of Yemenis population have infected by many diseases like cholera, diphtheria due to the lack of healthcare. As consequence, Yemenis have lost the access to health infrastructure due the war, according to WHO. This indicate that wars have massive impact on GDP of the country, as it effects its production and healthcare of the individual.

Secondly, the increase in unemployment can be another impact on GDP, which is a concern on both developed and developing countries. Oaks Law have demonstrated the relationship between the unemployment and GDP between 1949-2011, which shows an inverse relationship between them, as been mention on the Economy Research article. For instance, UK have faced overstock on the number of jobless below 24 years old people, which indicate less growth productivity, as cited on the Guardian. Moreover, according to Kingdon and Knight (2007), unemployment on South Africa caused by the lack of the power to control an regulate the unemployment condition, which lead to increase in crime rates and inequality between the people as the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. Furthermore, their research demonstrates the unemployment rates in 1994 and 2016, as it was published during high levels of employment rate were recorded. This evidence shows that the rise of unemployment impact on the GDP negatively and increase social issues.

Final impact on economic growth is poverty. The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, also referred as OECD, states that poverty is the inequality of the income across individuals. According to the Center for American Progress, children who raised from poverty has more chance to do a crime by 1.3% and not obey the justice. Furthermore, according to the Center of American Progress, the economic growth got affected by 1.3% decrease on GDP due to low labor force. In light of this poverty in Yemen have been estimated around 76%, as these people live with 3.20$ per day due to the civil war. Furthermore, the Italian Institute for International Politics Studies point out that Yemenis need around $80 billion to retrieve the damages caused from the war. This emphasizes that increase rate of poor people results to decline on GDP as simple swan model, according to findings from the Australian National University.

In conclusion, this essay examined whether social problems affect GDP by examining a number of important arguments, such as civil war, unemployment rate, and poverty. Therefore, in answer to the question whether social issues affect the economic growth it can be concluded that they certainly impact in the economy of the country. Thus, economic issues can lead to serious disasters.

Rise and Fall of GDP

Rise and Fall of GDP

The article ‘The Rise and Fall of the GDP’ by John Gertner discusses how gross domestic production has been a good source of our country’s economic output, but how recently we have been disregarding that, although it puts into account our spending, imports, exports and many other factors, it has failed to put into account our well-being and prosperity as a country. GDP has been just a single data point that represented us as a country, but we need to take into thought many other things that represent us as a society. Chris Hoenig has created a nonprofit system called the ‘State of the USA’. It will show not just our economic status as a whole, but it will also show how we need to improve in over 300 areas such as health, education, jobs, environment, etc. In the article, Gertner discusses how maybe we will eventually be able to get rid of using GDP, and that through achieving a sustainable environment and society can help us progress as a nation. Gartner also discusses this concept of a high GDP man and a low GDP man. A High GDP man lives above his means, he drives to work on a long commute, works hard and spends hard, has many stresses in his life, etc. While a low GDP man walks to work, grows vegetables instead of buying, hangs his laundry to dry instead of using a washer and dryer, and he lives below his means and saves a lot of money seems happier. In the view of economics, a high GDP man is superior to a low GDP man, even though if you really look at their lives, although a high GDP man may be more successful his quality of life is not as good and his happiness and satisfaction are most likely not as great as a low GDP man’s. Another very important thing we need to take into account is the environment. Building in a depletion charge would drastically change GDP in other countries because of how much they sell with oil, gas, timber and fisheries. Although this would not change the US that much, because of our technological advance it would be able to more accurately show other countries GDP. We can put monetary values on mineral stocks, fisheries and even forests but it’s hard to put a monetary value on alteration of the climate system, loss of species and the consequences that might come from those. On the other hand, you have to decide to measure something difficult before you can come up with a technique for measuring it. That was the case when the U.S. decided to create national accounts on economic production during the Great Depression.

The advantages of GDP as a measure of welfare are that using GDP as a measure of a nation’s economy makes sense, because it’s essentially a measure of how much buying power a nation has over a given time period, and it is a way to compare our country to other countries. GDP is also used as an indicator of a nation’s overall standard of living because, generally, a nation’s standard of living increases as GDP increases. Also, when GDP is high, production is high, which means that people are able to purchase goods, which is a good indicator as to how well our country is doing economically. The disadvantages of GDP as a measure of welfare are that it does not take into account certain factors such as quality of life or an individual’s well-being, and it disregards many important factors that are left out when factoring GDP. It also creates a distorted representation of our economic lives. Americans would have had a much clearer picture of our progress over the past decade if we had focused on median income rather than G.D.P. per capita, which is distorted by top earners and corporate profits. A president could go on the podium and point to GDP as proof that Americans are doing very well. But if you looked instead at median income you could say, a) it’s not sustainable; and b) most people are actually worse off.

The Human Development Index is calculated by taking into account the GDP, income index, citizen’s education and health. There are the dimensions, indicators and dimension index. The dimensions are a long and healthy life, knowledge and a decent standard of living. The indicators are life expectancy at birth, expected years of schooling/ mean years of schooling and GNI per capita. The dimension indexes are life expectancy index, education index and GNI index. All these things are what go into account when calculated the Human Development Index. The Human Development Index basically takes an average of all these things to calculate the overall index of human development. The Human Development Index, which happens to be used by the United Nations, has plenty of critics. For example, its three-part weightings are frequently criticized for being arbitrary; another problem is that minor variations in the literacy rates of developed nations, for example, can yield significant differences in how countries rank. The HDI has been extremely helpful in tracking the progress of the world’s poorer nations.

The major criticisms of GDP are that there is more to life than just material goods, wealth, status and economics. GDP tells us nothing about our overall happiness or satisfaction as people is just labels us on our spending and manufacturing as a society, and it has not only failed to capture the well-being of a 21st-century society, but has also skewed global political objectives toward the single-minded pursuit of economic growth. GDP only counts goods that pass through official, organized markets, so it misses home production and black-market activity. This is a big omission, particularly in developing countries where much of what is consumed is produced at home (or obtained through barter). This also means if people begin hiring others to clean their homes instead of doing it themselves, or if they go out to dinner instead of cooking at home, GDP will appear to grow even though the total amount produced has not changed.

My opinion on GDP is that it is not the best way to calculate a countries economy and overall status because there are many important things that determine the overall status of a country. I think we should have a new index of measuring our economic status that isn’t very black and white and that it accounts for many aspects of people’s life that could play a part in how our economy is and how different our GDP could be if we added in those important things. I think that even though there are some advantages to using a GDP as a measure of economy that eventually we should get rid of it and us a different way of measuring our country and other countries. I do not believe it is an effective measure of overall welfare because, as I said before, it does not take into account many important aspects such as people who grow and sell their own foods, individuals health, happiness, satisfaction and what people spend on certain things just to name a few. In the article when it discussed the comparison between money and happiness that money can lead to increased satisfaction in your life which can be a form of happiness, but overall money does not make a difference in our daily happiness. In my opinion I don’t think that money buys happiness. Although money does make life easier and can give you a lot of advances in life, I don’t think that its money is really corelated to happiness because happiness is a by-product of many other factors that we experience in life.

In conclusion I think that the article discussed a great argument and problem that is facing our economy today. GDP has been a measure that we have used for many years, and people are coming to realize that it may not be as helpful as we used to think. It fails to take into consideration certain things that effect our economy and would change our GDP. By measuring our economy spending tells us not a lot about our well-being of a country as a whole. Implementing a new system or making changes to our current system would make our view of our country more accurate and would be able to help us know where we need to fix and progress in our economy.

Gross Domestic Product of the United States

Gross Domestic Product of the United States

The United States GDP in the second quarter was a total of $5,335,067 million. GDP is a total monetary or market value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country’s borders within a specific time period. GDP does not take into account intermediate goods, which are goods used to make other goods, such as oil that is then used to make gas, nonmarket transactions, second-hand transactions, and the black market. GDP then has two subcategories: nominal and real GDP. Nominal GDP is GDP at the current market prices and does not adjust for inflation. While real GDP is GDP that has been adjusted for inflation. The 3 macroeconomic goals measured by GDP are full employment, stable prices, and economic growth. Full employment means that people 16 and older who are willing to work are at or lower than 4.5%. A stable rate of inflation is at or below 2%. Economic growth is the percentage of change in the profit of goods and services compared to a prior period. The United States’ current GDP is healthy due to the rate of our unemployed, which is lower than 4.5% and the inflation rate is steady.

The United States’ current GDP is healthy because the rate of our unemployed is lower than 4.5%. The rate of unemployment in the U.S. is at a low 3.7% as of August in 2019; so, the country is below the rate for full employment. There are four types of unemployment that are most prevalent: cyclical, seasonal, frictional, and structural. Seasonal unemployment is someone who only works based on the season, such as a lifeguard. Frictional unemployment is when a worker is between jobs; a person who has just been let go or quit. Structural unemployment is when a job is no longer in demand or it is replaced by technology, such as a worker who is employed in a job that is below their capabilities; this unemployment is the hardest to fix. Cyclical unemployment occurs when the economy is going through a recession or expansion. The 3.9% unemployment rate shows that all of these types of unemployment are low. This is important due to the fact it shows that a large percentage of the workforce is employed. The economic goal this falls under is full unemployment which benefits economic growth, since the more people making money, thus more money will be spent.

A business cycle is the natural fall and rise of economic growth over a period of time. There are four different phases in the business cycle which are; recession, expansion, peak, and trough. Recession is a temporary period of economic activity; a country is considered to be in a recession when GDP declines for two consecutive quarters, followed by a recession that is the final cyclical trough. Expansion is when the GDP grows, unemployment reaches its natural state, and inflation reaches 2%; the peak is the max health the GDP can reach. Currently, the United States is in the expansion point of the business model since the trough in the fourth quarter of 2008 finally broke, which was caused by the housing market crash. Since the U.S. is in an expansion period, the employment rate is lowering. As the country was in the trough the unemployment rate was 10%. As a country rises and falls through the business cycle so does the employment rate.

The United States GDP is healthy because the rate of inflation is stable. To make a point clear a stable rate of inflation is 2-3% a year. Inflation is measured using the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This measures the percentage of change in the price of a normal group of goods and services consumed within a household. As of September 2019, the inflation rate has stayed at 1.7%, which means that although prices rise, the common household can still afford to purchase those goods and services. Even though the rate is lower than 2%, as long as that number does not rise rapidly, it is optimal. As the country continues to expand, the unemployment rate will lower and the rate of inflation will rise. The unemployment rate is 3.9%, so it shows that the United States is steadily increasing and pulling itself out of the trough.

Since the unemployment rate is 3.9% and the rate of inflation is 1.7%, the United States’ GDP is healthy. If the GDP was unhealthy as it was in 2008, it would have had the same high unemployment and low rate of inflation. Even though the inflation rate of 1.7% does not mean it is unhealthy. Since the country is only in the expanding sector of the business cycle, the rate of inflation will continue to climb. It’s the full effort of the working people, government and businesses to expand and grow the economy.

Works Cited

  1. Nominal GDP, Real GDP, and Price Level, http://cliffsnotes.com/study-guides/economics/gdp-inflation-and-unemployment/nominal-gdp-real-gdp-and-price-level
  2. Amadeo, Kimberly. “The 4 Critical Stages of the Business Cycle”. The Balance, The Balance, 27 Oct. 2019, http://thebalance.com/what-is-the-business-cycle-3305912
  3. Amadeo, Kimberly. “Where Are We in the Current Business Cycle?” The Balance, The Balance, 4 Oct. 2019, http://thebalance.com/where-are-we-in-the-current-business-cycle-3305593
  4. Chappelow, Jim. “The ABC on GDP: All You Need to Know About Gross Domestic Product”. Investopedia, Investopedia, 21 Oct. 2019, http://investopedia.com/terms/g/gdp.asp
  5. Chappelow, Jim. “Recession Definition”. Investopedia, Investopedia, 3 Oct. 2019, http://investopedia.com/terms/r/recession.asp
  6. Nordqvist, Christian. “Trough – Definition and Meaning”. Market Business News, Market Business News, 5 Nov. 2018, http://marketbusinessnews.com/financial-glossary/trough-definition-meaning/
  7. “Real GDP Definition.” Bankrate, http://bankrate.com/glossary/r/real-gdp/
  8. Reserve Bank of Australia. “Inflation and Its Measurement: Education”. Reserve Bank of Australia, Scheme=AGLSTERMS.AglsAgent; CorporateName=Reserve Bank of Australia, 9 Oct. 2018, http://rba.gov.au/education/resources/explainers/inflation-and-its-measurement.html
  9. Staff, Investopedia. “How Did the Great Recession Affect Structural Unemployment?” Investopedia, Investopedia, 12 Mar. 2019, http://investopedia.com/ask/answers/050715/how-did-great-recession-affect-structural-unemployment.asp
  10. “United States (USA) GDP – Gross Domestic Product 2019”. Countryeconomy.com, Follow Us, 31 July 2019, http://countryeconomy.com/gdp/usa
  11. “United States Inflation Rate”. United States Inflation Rate | 2019 | Data | Chart | Calendar | Forecast, http://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi