Cryptocurrency Exchange Market Prediction and Analysis Using Data Mining and Artificial Intelligence

Introduction

The technology of artificial intelligence (A.I.) has the potential of transforming many aspects of humanity’s life, including the existing financial operations. The emergence of digital currencies, for instance, bitcoin, in 2008 presented a question of analyzing this new financial market. This paper aims to review the application of A.I. in the context of blockchain finance by examining scholarly articles to determine whether the A.I. algorithm can be used to analyze this financial market.

Overview

The widespread use of cryptocurrencies and the fact that they remained popular for over ten years facilitates the need for developing prediction models that will allow one to use these currencies as investments. A.I. technology has been developing for decades and has been a topic of discussion for many. It has implications for presenting an efficient analysis and presenting one with a practical evaluation of this financial market. However, the complexity of Blockchain and the nature of this technology makes it impossible to analyze and predict using the standard financial analysis models. Therefore, behavioral factors and other elements should be accounted for in the successful algorithm.

Research Objectives

This research aims to examine peer-reviewed articles and determine the applicability of the A.I. algorithm and data mining and its implications for the cryptocurrency market. The amount of data generated by exchange services and activities allow researchers to analyze behavior and trends and come up with valid prediction models. An essential factor that will be examined in this paper is emotions as a critical element in the decision-making process of individuals. In this regard, the correlation between social media and news outlets and its impact on the fluctuations of cryptocurrencies will be examined as well.

Thus, the main focus of this paper is blockchain technology, A.I., and cryptocurrencies. Additionally, the ability of A.I. to assess and evaluate this financial market in order to boost is one of the objectives. Understanding different models of A.I. and their results in regard to cryptocurrency market predictions will be explored. Next, a test with the use of historical data will be conducted, and results, as well as their implications will be presented. In general, this paper should help develop an ethical framework for decision-making in the context of A.I. facilitated cryptocurrency market analysis.

Research Questions

The fact that A.I. algorithms are free from bias that data analytics can suffer from presents an implication for applying this technology to make accurate forecasting for the cryptocurrency market. This research aims to answer the question of plausibility and validity that A.I. has in regards to financial market analysis. Additionally, the ethical implications of this technology will be examined as part of the study.

Research Methodology

In order to locate answers for the questions that this paper aims to answer, peer-reviewed articles from scholarly journals that focus on A.I., finance, cryptocurrency, and Blockchain were examined. The reports present a large number of data, including background information and specific studies that use A.I. to make financial predictions. Thus, this paper will offer an assessment of the definition of Blockchain, bitcoin, and A.I. Additionally, the connection between these elements will be explored. The limitations of Blockchain will be investigated as well as other aspects of this technology. A variety of models and strategies of A.I. application will be reviewed in order to determine a successful strategy for A.I. implementation. This information should provide a cohesive understanding of the cryptocurrency market, and the implications of A.I. enabled forecasting.

Literature Review

The following paragraphs will focus on exploring the research works that examine various aspects of Blockchain and A.I. It should be noted that the development of a framework that can be used to analyze the financial market of cryptocurrencies is critical due to the significant impact of blockchain technology on the economic and social life of people globally. Machine learning algorithms that will be discussed in this paper are an essential element of A.I. technology, and some examples include neural networks and deep learning. Due to the current popularity of cryptocurrencies and their impact on the economy on a global level, a need for forecasting the trends and specifics of value changes has arisen.

Background and Related Works

Firstly, it is crucial to define A.I. as well as blockchain technology and describe the application of the former in the financial markets. According to Zheng et al. (2018, p. 1), A.I. is “the core technology of new technological revolution and industrial transformation, is transcending the traditional means of simulating human intelligence by a computer.” The authors specifically focus on describing AI 2.0 and its application within the financial market because of the particular goals and suitability of this technology for the needs of the financial markets. Coeckelbergh and Reijers (2015, p. 172) state that “technologies have a temporal and narrative character: that they are made sense of by means of individual and collective narratives but also themselves co-constitute those narratives and inter-human and social relations; configuring events in a meaningful temporal whole.” The third stage of Fintech development implies the integration of big data with other elements such as the Internet and Blockchain for the achievement of better efficiency within the financial market. One example of an application that describes the efficiency of using A.I. in finance is the assessment of an individual’s credit score.

Next, in order to understand Blockchain, one must have sufficient knowledge of information centralization on the Internet. Zheng et al. (2018, p. 2) state that various barriers obstructing individuals from free data sharing existed until Blockchain was introduced, which is “a distributed, publicly available, and immutable ledger.” Blockchain and bitcoin cryptocurrency are inseparable as they were simultaneously introduced in 2008 by Nakamoto (DeVries 2016). In his paper, DeVries (2016) argues that cryptocurrencies, for example, bitcoin, do not have the potential of fully replacing the existing financial structures. However, they can transform the perception of market interactions. The conclusion made by the author suggests that due to the fact that cryptocurrencies imply fewer barriers or regulators, they can impact the existing approaches to currency exchange and national currencies perception.

Defining the concept of these currencies is crucial for understanding their application. DeVries (2016, p. 1) describes cryptocurrency as “an encrypted, peer-to-peer network for facilitating digital barter.” The author states that the primary advantage of this exchange model is the lack of oversight from a third party, which allows Internet users to exchange value more easily. According to Jani (2018, p. 1), “as of March 18, 2018, there are 1564 Cryptocurrencies available & traded in about 9422 exchanges.” Therefore, the current market of cryptocurrencies is large and will continue to grow to provide investment opportunities for individuals. Miraz and Ali (2018) focus on the prospects of blockchain technology and its prospective applications beyond the cryptocurrencies described in this paper. According to the authors, “distributed storage systems, proof-of-location, healthcare, decentralized voting, and so forth” are the prospective fields that can benefit from this technology in the future (Miraz & Ali 2018, p. 1). Therefore, Blockchain is not only applied in peer-to-peer value enhancement through cryptocurrencies but can be used in other fields as well.

A different perspective on the matter can help further improve the understanding of cryptocurrencies. Farell (2015, p. 130) provides the following description for the concept of cryptocurrencies – “virtual coinage system that functions much like a standard currency, enabling users to provides virtual payment for goods and services free of a central trusted authority.” The author argues that although the successful implementation of Blockchain occurred recently, the concept of cryptocurrencies was first explored in the 1980s.

The process of obtaining currencies is complex and requires one to solve an algorithm. Narayanan et al. (2016) describe mining puzzles that allow one to mine bitcoin and thus receive coins for the efforts. This is an essential element of the cryptocurrency market because, as was previously mentioned, the difficulty of mining is one of the aspects that affect the market. Thus, Narayanan et al. (2016) hypothesize that individuals will try to locate shortcuts for solving puzzles, which will allow them to achieve higher monetary rewards. This article provides a better understanding of the forces impacting the cryptocurrency market as well as implications for developing A.I. and data mining algorithms for predictions regarding value fluctuations.

Another background information that can be useful for this research is the historic change of bitcoin evaluation. Gandal and Halaburda (2016) examined the price changes and factors impacting them in the early stages of cryptocurrency implementation. The findings suggest that despite bitcoin being the most well-known and the most initial cryptocurrency introduced to the market, its value it is currently smaller than that of others. The authors applied the winner-take-all framework to analyze bitcoin against other cryptocurrencies. The Analysis presented by the authors of this study suggests that further models and algorithms should not be based on the implications of the new price trends of cryptocurrencies because those show little impact on the future development of these coins.

The cryptocurrency market incorporates a variety of tokens or currencies. According to Lee, Guo, and Wang (2018), apart from the popular bitcoin, several other cryptocurrencies were developed based on the original blockchain technology, which is referred to as altcoins. Among the reasoning for these actions are the limited 21 million bitcoins and the high demand for electricity required to mine these coins. Additionally, these elements led to the increased interest in cryptocurrencies that affected the financial market and, subsequently, the perceived value of these coins.

In regards to the prospects of bitcoin, Blockchain, and cryptocurrencies, a variety of suggestions is offered by scholars. For instance, Darlington (2014) states that cryptocurrencies, such as bitcoin or altcoins, have a specific meaning for developing economies because they mitigate the issue of inflation. However, limitations in regards to access and applicability still exist, as well as the possibility of uncovering problems with the mining algorithm in the future. Peters, Panayi, and Chapelle (2015) provide their insight on the topic of cryptocurrencies and prospective development trends, while ElBahrawy et al. (2017) state that even though new cryptocurrencies emerge and leave the market continuously, the overall development trend has remained stable since 2013. This is consistent with the neutral evolution model that accounts for elements that facilitate the development of this financial market.

It is critical to understand the specifics of operations that distinguish bitcoin from other cryptocurrencies. Delmolino et al. (2015) provide an understanding of smart contracts that were applied by altcoins emerging after bitcoin. Those use specific user-generated rules for transactions resulting in the ability to change the approaches to mining and currency exchange introduced by bitcoin. Thus, this article provides valuable insight into the issue of smart contracts, which can be used to enhance one’s knowledge of blockchain interactions.

Challenges and Limitations

Despite the overall benefits of cryptocurrencies, there are important issues that should be considered with their application and use. In his article, DeVries (2016) argues that contemporary in-state and international institutions are not tailored to the requirements of blockchain technology. Therefore, no clear regulations and legislation exist, which is both a challenge due to security and safety and an advantage due to the mitigation of unnecessary oversight. Azouvi, Maller, and Meiklejohn (2019, p. 127) state that “in a decentralized system, no one entity can act to censor transactions or prevent individuals from joining the network.” Another issue that can significantly affect this financial market and AI-based predictions is the need for user acceptance. DeVries (2016) argues that this is the only force that determines the success and value of any cryptocurrency; thus, with a change in people’s perception, the price of any cryptocurrency can change significantly.

The actual price of specific cryptocurrencies is unknown due to the current popularity of this technology. Salvetti, de Rossi, and Abbatemarco (2018) argue that due to the current demand and discussion surrounding Blockchain and cryptocurrencies, the current market is subjected to bias and hype, which does not allow one to adequately apply A.I. or data mining for Analysis. Many companies and venture capitalists invested in enterprises in this market, and the actual value of each cryptocurrency, including the most popular one, bitcoin, will be seen over time. Lindman, Rossi, and Tuunainen (2017) point out the limitation of Blockchain – is the network effect that impacts the cryptocurrencies and payment system limitations. More specifically, this technology is especially crucial for the financial markets because it eliminates a variety of risks associated with the industry. Additionally, Blockchain can be applied in many governmental operations, including issuing of certificates, which will allow additional accuracy and transparency to this process.

Among the specific limitations that exist, one should note that many countries, for instance, the U.S., introduced legislation aimed at regulating the cryptocurrency market. This can lead to a significant impact on the overall perception of the demand for coins. Hughes (2017) states that despite the current efforts, the decentralized nature of blockchain technology makes it impossible to enforce specific regulations. Delgado-Segura et al. (2018) state that P2P networks are the primary feature of cryptocurrencies that distinguishes them from other digital money. However, the issue is that no specific standard exists, which results in significant differences within the functionality of these networks.

How A.I., Cryptocurrency, and Blockchain are Related

The following paragraph will explore the connection between the three technologies. Hassani, Huang, and Silva (2018) state that currently, the cryptocurrency market is valued at trillions of U.S. dollars, which showcases its significance in the context of global finance. The authors argue that the primary connection between A.I. and cryptocurrencies is the fact that the latter requires the application of Big Data analysis due to its complexity and incorporation of a large number of users. This corresponds with the five features of big data – volume, variety, velocity, veracity, and value.

The technology of Blockchain is revolutionizing many elements of contemporary life, including the financial markets. Salvetti, de Rossi, and Abbatemarco (2018) state that within this model, users have a critical role because they need to continuously participate in the data exchange process to ensure the functioning of Blockchain. This allows individuals to be a part of the peer to peer exchanges or transactions. In this regard, it should be noted that the connection between Blockchain and bitcoin is the fact that the former was the first known successful application of blockchain technology. Therefore, cryptocurrencies emerged due to the development of the technology in question, and their further development, as well as the functioning of this financial market, will depend on this concept.

In regards to the application of A.I. and data mining, prior research suggests that information gathered via the Internet can be used to make valid predictions regarding the changes in the financial markets. Colianni, Rosales, and Signorotti (2015) present an example of Twitter and the gathering of information from this social media platform that helped researchers make predictions regarding the movement of securities. Subsequently, the authors argue that social media can be used to gather information about cryptocurrencies that will enable one to develop adequate trading strategies. Thus, one can say that based on the findings of the study by Colianni, Rosales, and Signorotti (2015, p. 1), a conclusion regarding the successful use of machine learning within the financial market of cryptocurrencies predictions can be made, more specifically, the following algorithms were tested by the authors – “logistic regression, Naive Bayes, and support vector machines.” The accuracy of such predictions was estimated at over ninety percent, which provides implications for the further development of similar strategies.

Cryptocurrencies are inevitably connected to Blockchain as they are a result of a block exchange. Thus, tokens that are received as part of this process have the potential of transforming the economic system globally because they allow one to exchange value with others independently. Laskowski and Kim (2016) explore the technology of text mining in the context of cryptocurrencies. The authors created a framework that incorporates a number of information streams from social media and messaging applications, which allowed them to develop a cohesive model representing the current financial market of cryptocurrencies. Therefore, unarguably, the nature of cryptocurrencies implies a need for a different analysis of information to make accurate predictions of market changes.

The Emergence of Cryptocurrency and Blockchains

As was previously mentioned, most researchers reviewed in this paper agree that the first cryptocurrency introduced was bitcoin. It was created in 2008, and according to DeVries (2016), to ensure parity, there is a specified number of this currency that can be generated by users. An unusual element of blockchain finance is explored by the author, who points out that, unlike traditional currencies, cryptocurrencies exist due to the perceived value that individuals are accepting them as payments place on this technology. For instance, a vendor receiving bitcoins has to believe that this currency has value since no institution can provide support for it. Due to this reason, one can argue that the blockchain finance market is more complicated when compared to traditional ones and requires a more advanced technology such as A.I. for proper Analysis and predictions.

Types of Blockchain

In order to understand the different kinds of Blockchain, one must have sufficient knowledge of the mechanisms that underline blockchain technology. Price (2017, p. 2) states that “a blockchain database is a distributed ledger comprising transactions and blocks.” This structure is critical for ensuring the safety of data because each block incorporates a hash from a previous block. Thus, it is highly unlikely that such data will be corrupted due to the integrity between different blocks. The cryptocurrencies that are created as a result of such exchanges or through the process called mining are intended to incentivize users to use the system and thus enable the exchange of information between different parties.

It should be noted that a variety of blockchain types exists that differ in accordance with the use of the algorithm. For instance, public blockchains use the proof of work model that can be seen in bitcoin. Users have to verify each transaction in order for this system to work. This model is open-sourced and, therefore can be used by anyone. Private blockchains, on the contrary, have limited access to data and thus can be used by a specified number of users.

Cryptocurrency Market Analysis

The formation of value within the cryptocurrency market is an essential feature that shapes the demand and price of each coin. Hayes (2015, p. 1308) argues that based on the empirical data and cross-sectional Analysis, it can be concluded that “the difficulty in ‘mining ‘for coins; the rate of unit production; and the cryptographic algorithm employed” are the critical elements. Kaplan, Aslan, and Bulbul (2018) focused on examining the word of mouth effect established through another social media platform Twitter and its prospective impact on the price of cryptocurrencies. The regression analysis revealed that a correlation between rumors regarding altcoins and price value exists. Yilmaz and Hazar (2018a) state that investors choose cryptocurrencies based on five primary factors, which allows one to create a cryptocurrency that would correspond to all these elements and make predictions regarding the market success of a particular coin. DeVries (2016, p. 2) argues that “cryptocurrencies could possibly be the single most disruptive technology to global financial and economic systems.” Thus, this technology is essential for the global economy and should be analyzed carefully.

Firstly, the decentralized nature of Blockchain mitigates the traditional disadvantages of other online payment methods – including commissions, chargebacks, risks of doubles endings, or possible fraud. Heid (2014) provides an assessment of this financial market and argues that Bitcoin is a successful proof of concept for blockchain technology. Despite the fact that the cryptocurrency market is more secure when compared to traditional financial markets, it has been subjected to various attackers. Heid (2014) provides examples of data breaches and attempts to target end-users and other malicious actions that were possible due to the fact that the protocol was experimental. The author presents the following explanation of the algorithm that allows blockchain transactions to function – the encrypted algorithm generates precomputed files, each containing a pair of public and private keys and assigned to a specific owner. Next, individuals engaged in transactions can send data stored in the file walled.dat on their hard drives to other users. Dynamic wallet addresses contain information about the private keys, while public keys contain information about the destination of a payment.

One crucial element of the cryptocurrency market is that a specified number of coins for each cryptocurrency exists. Therefore, the value of these elements is based on the supply and demand laws, which are significant forces within the cryptocurrency market. Zheng et al. (2018) conducted a study examining the existing articles that research the financial market and application of A.I. The authors introduced the concept of financial intelligence, which is critical for this market. In addition, the level of difficulty in regards to mining a coin impacts the final price because it fluctuates depending on the conditions. The nature of this protocol implies no need for a third party because the open-source protocol allows the transactions to be secure and reliable. In general, cryptocurrencies can be purchased through exchange marketplaces using fiat currencies. Thus one can conclude that “the market is diverse and provides investors with many different products” (Alessandretti et al. 2018, p. 1). Thus, forecasting within this domain will become increasingly important in the future.

To understand the specifics of the markets, a study focusing on their functioning was explored. Hitam and Ismail (n.d.) compare the performance of different machine learning algorithms in regards to their ability for prediction changes in the cryptocurrency market. The study uses technical analysis strategies for time series data forecasting, which implies an assessment of information within the market such as price, the volume of sales, and future predictions. It disregards other elements applied in the fundamental Analysis, including outside forces that may impact the financial markets.

In general, the algorithms proposed by the authors of the discussed study are reasonably successful in making accurate cryptocurrency market predictions. An article by Farell (2015) offers a comprehensive analysis of the cryptocurrency market, which provides an understanding of the underlying forces guiding its development. Yamada and Nakajima (2016) introduce the concept of micro pricing in Blockchain to develop a framework for understanding human behavior and its implications for the economy and financial markets. Gandal and Halaburda (2014) present an article that examines Competition in the cryptocurrency marker using the network effect model. The findings suggest that currently, cryptocurrencies are viewed as financial assets, which provides implications for developing A.I. for market predictions.

Algorithms and Methods of Predictions

Application of A.I. in the context of Analysis and prediction of the price is a valid strategy that can be used to make investment recommendations in regards to cryptocurrencies. However, many components should be considered. Another study that applies A.I. in the form of neural networks for the prediction of price fluctuation of cryptocurrencies was conducted by Gullapalli (2016), who used this framework to make predictions regarding the high and closing prices of bitcoin on a daily basis. Both time delay and recurrent neural networks were used in this experiment to account for a variety of factors that may impact the market, in order to train these neural networks, historical data regarding the price of bitcoin as a reference. Components such as quarterly highest and the lowest value, closing costs, and volume of demand were taken into account by Gullapalli (2016). In general, the algorithm developed by the author, more specifically the time-delay model, was successful at predicting the price.

The ethical element of A.I. analysis is an essential focus of this paper. Wallach (2010) explores the question of ethics and decision-making, the process that impacts the way humans choose to act. This research is relevant to the question of A.I. analysis applied to cryptocurrencies because, as was previously mentioned, this market is based solely on the value perception that individuals have. Cognitive mechanisms, such as reasoning, have an impact on this process, and with an appropriate model, A.I. can mirror this reasoning process, which will help make adequate predictions regarding cryptocurrencies. In his study, Wallac (2010) mainly focuses on developing robots that can be applied in a variety of domains without posing a threat by applying algorithms that allow them to use the ethical values of humans.

The emergence of Blockchain and cryptocurrencies is a result of a need for improvement in some aspects of financial operations. Jani (2018) explores the development and use of cryptocurrencies in India to provide an understanding of the enhancements that the introduction of this technology has, as well as the challenges that it poses. According to the author, approximately 21 countries responded to the widespread use of cryptocurrencies by introducing regulations aimed at protecting citizens from fraud. This affects the expectations of users and thus the ability to apply the A.I. algorithm for analyzing this market.

One can argue that the application of theories from traditional finance can be used to improve the A.I. algorithm in regard to cryptocurrencies. Khuntia and Pattanayak (2018) claim that the adaptive market hypothesis can be applied to cryptocurrencies and evaluate their theory using the example of bitcoin. In this regard, new information that people obtain has an impact on the price of their assets, in this case – cryptocurrencies, in accordance with the martingale difference sequence. However, Khuntia and Pattanayak (2018) state that over time, financial markets change and adapt to new conditions and are subjected to behavioral bias, which may be the primary limitation of data mining and A.I. analysis.

In order to prove this concept, several studies were examined that focus on behavior. Krafft, Penna, and Pentland (2018) conducted an experiment that can provide important implications for the future development of A.I. and data mining algorithms tailored to the Analysis of cryptocurrencies. The authors acknowledge the fluctuations of this market that are facilitated by bias and perception of the buyers and sellers and aim to account for it in their study. Krafft, Penna, and Pentland (2018) created bots that purchased small amounts of cryptocurrencies over a timeframe of six months to measure the impact of these actions on the overall market. The findings suggest that such actions have a significant short-term effect, which can be used as an important element of algorithm design.

Several researchers examined the prospects of machine learning and the plausibility of applying this strategy to the cryptocurrency market. Mini et al. (n.d., p. 96) studied the effect of applying neural networks on the predictions made regarding bitcoin prices using “multilayer perceptron (MLP) and Long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks.” The authors added social and time elements to the standard model to improve precision. It was concluded that LSTM is more efficient due to the fact that it considers more factors. It can be found that the inclusion of a variety of factors that have a direct impact on the financial market, including behavioral elements, can significantly increase the accuracy of the A.I. algorithm. Napiah (2018) applied hybridization machine learning to facilitate the process of predicting changes in the cryptocurrency market. Other researchers focused on used a variety of A.I. frameworks to design a model that will accurately predict price fluctuations, For instance, Catania, Grassi, and Ravazzolo (2018), McNally (2016), and Jiang and Liang (2016) used A.I. while Yilmaz and Hazar (2018b) used conjoint Analysis. This presents a variety of evidence suggesting that A.I. and data mining can be used to make accurate predictions for cryptocurrencies.

Most researchers focus on applying traditional financial models when analyzing the market in question, which leads to several difficulties. Alessandretti et al. (2018) conducted a study targeting the machine learning algorithms that can be used to determine the market changes of cryptocurrencies. The authors used gradient boosting decision trees as the primary strategy for predicting the value of cryptocurrencies. The findings are based on the Analysis of 1,681 currencies and suggest that similar models that apply A.I. can be used to produce a profit from cryptocurrencies. Currently, Alessandretti et al. (2018, p. 2) state that the following algorithms were used to analyze cryptocurrencies, more specifically bitcoin – “random forests, Bayesian neural network, long short-term memory neural network, and other algorithms.” In general, from 2013 till 2017, the cryptocurrency market remained stable, showcasing its long-term properties. Li et al. (n.d.) focused on determining the prospects of using deep learning strategies in the prediction of cryptocurrency market fluctuations. The Python Library Keras was used for the development of this model, and two neural networks were created for the purpose of this experiment.

Different optimizers were used to adjust these models, and the findings suggest that it is plausible to develop a working neural network model that makes successful predictions regarding the value of cryptocurrencies, in this case, bitcoin, over short periods of time. Both classification and regression problems were resolved by Lee et al. (2018). This study provides implications for further development of deep learning networks that can be used to predict value changes accurately, as the authors of the described experiment aimed at determining changes within 3%. Pelletier (2018) uses Aylien API to make predictions regarding bitcoin. However, the study occurred during the plateau period experienced by the cryptocurrency, which was at the peak of its popularity prior. The author argues that news regarding bitcoin can significantly affect its price and suggests using Natural Language Toolkit as an A.I. model for Analysis. However, Pelletier (2018) states that according to the results of his studies, such information impacts only individual users and has little effect on investors. Similar findings are introduced by Lamon, Nielsen, and Redondo (2017), who argue that both news and social media can be used to predict the price fluctuations of the cryptocurrency market. More specifically, the authors focus on the three popular currencies – bitcoin, litecoin, and etherum.

Phillips and Gorse (2017) improved the previously described algorithm that accounted for news and social media rumors. This was done by applying epidemic modeling that can be used to detect prospective cryptocurrency bubbles and thus avoid risky investments. Lee, Ulkuatam, Beling, and Scherer (2018) used inverse reinforcement learning together with agent-based modeling to design an algorithm that would allow one to make accurate predictions in the cryptocurrency market.

The changes in the price that are prevalent for the market in question require additional attention. Conrad, Custovic, and Ghysels (2018) examined the volatility of bitcoin over both short and long timeframes using the GARCH-MIDAS model. The findings suggest that, in general changes in the price of bitcoin do not correspond with the standard volatility frameworks which can be observed in financial markets. However, the global economy and events affecting it have a direct impact on bitcoin, which provides implications for further Analysis of occurrences affecting cryptocurrencies. Radityo, Munajat, and Budi (2017) used artificial neural networks, while Karasu, Hacioglu, and Atlan (2018) applied time series machine learning. The results provide an understanding of successful strategies that can be used to predicts volatility.

Accounting for social media impact is critical for accurate cryptocurrency forecasting. Islam et al. (2018) used text mining for financial Analysis and understanding the implication of news in regards to market value. The study focuses on developing a variety of frameworks that can be used to classify significant information, which can be used for improving the A.I. algorithm. The authors suggest that “within the text mining techniques, predictive stock model (SPM) need to improve by the rank search method with the inclusion of gains and ratios along with forwarding selection methods by integrating dimensionality reduction techniques” (Islam et al. 2018, p. 770).

Cocco, Concas, and Marchesi (2017) conducted an experiment in which the researchers used an artificial model of the cryptocurrency market. This model is helpful due to its recumbence with the actual cryptocurrency market and ability to showcase autocorrelation. This study is useful because the model can be used to test different strategies of investment in the cryptocurrency market. Radityo, Munajat, and Budi (2017) conducted a study comparing several A.I. algorithms in their ability to predict the fluctuations of bitcoin accurately. The authors argue that A.I. was proven to have higher accuracy and efficiency than other strategies.

Additionally, one should note that features are included in the process of designing an A.I. network. Thierer and Castillo (2016) state that A.I. technology raises a variety of concerns from policymakers; however, the prospects of this technology can bring enormous economic and social benefits. When designing data mining and A.I. algorithms, some elements from the traditional financial analysis can be used to understand the basics of trading. Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) provide an assessment of the winners and losers framework that can be applied to the modern-day blockchain. This assessment offers implications for understanding the traditional financial market and buy-sell strategies that can be profitable.

Conclusion

Overall, this paper explores the topic of A.I. and the application of the algorithm in the Blockchain. In general, the findings suggest that the emergence of AI 2.0 and the development of the third Fintech stage can offer a variety of advantages for the financial industry. The studies examined in this paper suggest that A.I. and data mining can be applied to making an accurate prediction in regards to fluctuations in the financial market.

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Krafft, P, Penna, N & Pentland, A 2018 ‘An experimental study of cryptocurrency market dynamics’, Proceedings of the 2018 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems – CHI ’18, New York, USA, pp. 1-13.

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The Artificial Intelligence Use in Solar Panels

Aim and Focus of the Study

The use of solar PV panels as sources of renewable energy has been gaining traction in the recent decades. As a result, there has been increased competitiveness in the installation of PV panels. Meanwhile, the growing usage of artificial intelligence continues to enhance improved performance predictions through computational power and higher data availability. The need to predict solar PV energy output remains very essential to many players in the renewable energy industry. Artificial intelligence can be leveraged to achieve this end, particularly with regard to weather input parameters such as humidity and dust rate. This study proposal aims to present an approach that can be used to predict the output of a solar PV panel based on weather input parameters through the use of artificial intelligence. Different models of artificial intelligence with the features of humidity and dust rate will be created. The datasets will be collected in different areas within the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

Research Context

The continued growth of the economy has resulted in an increase in the demand for energy across the globe. However, there are fears that the finite energy reserves are rapidly getting depleted. Besides, the Dudley [1] observes that overreliance on fossil fuel as the primary energy source is taking a catastrophic toll on the global environment, thanks to global warming and climate change. Solar energy plants are thus emerging as the most appropriate renewable energy alternatives that will help reverse these trends. In recent years, there has been an increased uptake and installation of solar PV panels around the globe. In 2019 alone, 117 gigawatts were generated from solar PV power as demostarted by Alomari [2]. Artificial intelligence is now a common phenomenon in predicting and classifying solar PV panels output against the input variables. This is because of its ability to process nonlinear and complex problems reliably.

Fuzzy logic, K-nearest algorithm, artificial neural network (ANN), decision tree-based technique, and the support vector machine are the most common AI techniques in improving the performance of photovoltaic forecasting models. Gligor et al. [3] define artificial intelligence as a technology that has the potential to make quicker, better, and more practical forecasts as compared to traditional methods. In the opinion of Son et al. [4], when predicting the solar PV panels’ output, it is important to consider the prevailing environmental conditions, such as weather, humidity, and air pollution.

Different prediction models have been advanced using weather features to estimate the solar panels’ power output. For instance, according to Nageem and Jayabarat (5), a multi-input support vector regression (SVR) model can be used to forecast the output of a solar panel connected to a grid. In arriving at this conclusion, the authors considered such weather features as temperature, the speed of wind, humidity, and pressure. From their experimental analysis, Son et al. [4] observe that the SVR model produced more effective and accurate results as compared to the analytical model. The authors also used artificial neural networks (ANN) to predict solar panels’ power output on such weather features as irradiance and temperature. A five-year dataset demonstrated that such machine learning models as K-Nearest Neighbors, Random Regression, Gradient Boosting Regressor, and Linear Regression, have the potential to produce stronger performances.

Solar panels’ power output can also be predicted by the use of pollution features, particularly the atmospheric dust rate. While studying the impacts of particulate matter on South Korea’s solar output, the authors used the concentrations of PM2.5 and PM10 for the 2015 to 2017 dataset. The authors clarified that the PMs normally decrease the output of solar power by more than 10% [6]. From their results, they recommended that the PMs have negative effects on solar panels, and this should be taken into consideration in policymaking that targets South Korea’s solar panels. In addition, the authors calculated the production of solar energy due to particulate and dust air pollution by merging global modeling and field measurements to evaluate the effect of PM and dust on the generation of solar electricity. The results show that the production of solar panels was decreased by between 17 to 25% as a result of the PM on the solar panels’ surface, as reported by Bergin et al. [6]. From these previous studies, it is apparent that weather features adversely affect the production of power using solar PV panels.

Theoretical and Historical Perspectives and Interpretations

Over the past decade, there has been an unprecedented shift around the globe toward renewable energy sources. This has led to, among other things, the reduction in costs related to electricity production using PV panels. Along with this, the efficiency of energy conversion has significantly increased as well. Specifically, Chuluunsaikhan [7] observes that there has been a decrease of 73% between 2010 and 2017 on electricity levies charged on largescale PV panels. As a result of the increased efficiency and the reduction in costs, PV panels are fast emerging as competitive alternatives in several countries across the world.

Nonetheless, it must be noted that the output of PV panel energy is dependent on conditions of weather such as humidity, temperature, and dust rate in the air. This implies that the output of energy in PV solar panels is often unstable.

Therefore, it is imperative to understand and appropriately manage the variability of energy output from these sources. Indeed, there are indications that as more countries step up their investments in renewable energy sources, solar PV panels consumption will be on the rise as well. Kurukuru et al. [8] argues that this will increase the need to appropriately predict solar PV energy output. Artificial intelligence is one of the most effective ways that can be used to achieve this. However, despite the evidence of the demand for efficient and accurate prediction of solar PV energy output, finding a solution to this is a complex undertaking.

Weather variations are a constant nuisance that poses several challenges, which interfere with accurate weather predictions. As the PV power prediction solutions increase in demand, there has also been a proportional growth in the popularity of the prediction means through the help of artificial intelligence, as observed by Mustafa et al. [9]. Although the use of AI is not new, there has been an improvement in its capacity for computation. Besides, the high-quality data availability has enhanced the AI technique resourceful for PV solar panel energy output predictions.

Research Design

Experimental research will be carried out in four regions of the UAE. These are the areas with the highest and lowest humidity and those with the highest and lowest concentration of particulate matter in the air. Information about the exact locations of these areas will be collected from the country’s meteorological department.

Research Methodology

Meteorological data, specifically humidity and dust rate in the air, will be collected from the UAE Meteorological Department. The data will include mean average, daily minimum and, maximum humidity as well as the particulate matter from January 1, 2021, to December 31, 2021. All the data will be gathered from the four areas that the meteorological department will avail. The data that then be tabulated and analyzed qualitatively

Ethical Consideration

Since this study will not involve participants, issues of confidentiality, privacy, and consent will not arise. However, there is a philosophical viewpoint that revolves around the utilitarianism ethics of solar power energy. This school of ethics states that energy policies involving solar power should benefit very many people. However, this is not the case as solar panels are still costly out of the reach of ordinary people. Besides, while solar power is billed as an efficient renewable energy source, there is no denying that the performance of a photovoltaic (PV) system is affected by various environmental factors. These include water droplets, shading conditions, birds’ droppings, and the accumulation of dust. Thus, Jogunuri [10] argue that to ensure the efficient performance of a photovoltaic (PV) system, all these must be removed. This defeats the purpose of solar power being a sustainable source of green energy. It is, hence, an ethical conflict of values or interests to delineate solar power from other energy sources.

Outline Plan

  • January 2022- collecting and tabulating data from the EUA meteorological department on weather variations of the previous year.
  • February 2022- analyzing the solar panel energy outputs in the four stations.
  • March 2022- interpolating the results.
  • April 2022-writing a report.

Justification

The prediction of the performance of solar photovoltaic systems’ output cannot be effectively achieved, because of the weather conditions such as humidity and dust rate. However, thanks to artificial intelligence, this can be efficiently and easily solved.

References

D. Dudley, Forbes.

M. H. Alomari, J. Adeeb and O. Younis, “Solar photovoltaic power forecasting in jordan using artificial neural networks,” International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering (IJECE), vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 497 – 504, 2018, doi: 10.11591/ijece.v8il.

A. Gligor, C.-D. Dumitru and H.-S. Grif, “Artificial intelligence solution for managing a photovoltaic energy production unit,” Procedia Manufacturing, vol. 22, pp. 626-633, 2018, doi: 10.1016/j.promfg.2018.03.091.

J. Son, S. Jong, H. Park and C. Park, “The effect of particulate matter on solar photo-voltaic power generation over the Republic of Korea,” EnvironmentalResearch Letters, vol. 15, no. 8, 2020.

R. Nageem and R. Jayabarat, “Predicting the power output of a grid-connected solar pane using multi-input support vector regression,” Procedia Computer Science, vol. 115, pp. 723-73, 2017.

M. H. Bergin, C. Ghoroi, D. Dixit, J. J. Schaue and D. T. Shinde, “Large reductions in solar energy production due to dust and particulate air pollution,” Environmental Science & Technology Lette, vol. 4, no. 8, pp. 339-34, 2017.

T. Chuluunsaikhan, A. Nasridinov, W. S. Choi, D. B. Choi, S. H. Choi and Y. M. Kim, “Predicting the power output of solar panels based on weather and air pollution features using machine learning,” Journal of Korea Multimedia Society, vol. 24, no. 2, pp. 222-232, 2021, doi: 10.9717/kmms, 2021.

V. S. B. Kurukuru, A. Haque, M. A. Khan, S. Sahoo, A. Malik and F. Blaabjerg, “A review on Artificial Intelligence applications for grid-connected solar photovoltaic systems,” Energies, vol. 14, pp. 1-35, 2021, doi: 10.3390/en14154690.

R. J. Mustafa, M. R. Gomaa, M. Al-Dhaifallah and H. Rezk, “Environmental impacts on the performance of solar photovoltaic systems,” Sustainability, vol. 12, no. 2, p. 2020, doi: 10.3390/su12020608, 2020.

S. K. Jogunuri, “Artificial intelligence methods for solar forecasting for optimum sizing of PV systems: A review,” Research Journal Of Chemistry And Environment, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 174-180, 2020.

Footnotes

  1. D. Dudley, “World’s largest solar power plant moves forward in Abu Dhabi with contract award.” Forbes. Web.
  2. M. H. Alomari, J. Adeeb and O. Younis, “Solar photovoltaic power forecasting in jordan using artificial neural networks,” International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering (IJECE), vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 497 – 504, 2018, doi: 10.11591/ijece.v8il.
  3. A. Gligor, C.-D. Dumitru and H.-S. Grif, “Artificial intelligence solution for managing a photovoltaic energy production unit,” Procedia Manufacturing, vol. 22, pp. 626-633, 2018, doi: 10.1016/j.promfg.2018.03.091.
  4. J. Son, S. Jong, H. Park and C. Park, “The effect of particulate matter on solar photo-voltaic power generation over the Republic of Korea,” EnvironmentalResearch Letters, vol. 15, no. 8, 2020.
  5. R. Nageem and R. Jayabarat, “Predicting the power output of a grid-connected solar pane using multi-input support vector regression,” Procedia Computer Science, vol. 115, pp. 723-73, 2017.
  6. M. H. Bergin, C. Ghoroi, D. Dixit, J. J. Schaue and D. T. Shinde, “Large reductions in solar energy production due to dust and particulate air pollution,” Environmental Science & Technology Lette, vol. 4, no. 8, pp. 339-34, 2017.
  7. T. Chuluunsaikhan, A. Nasridinov, W. S. Choi, D. B. Choi, S. H. Choi and Y. M. Kim, “Predicting the power output of solar panels based on weather and air pollution features using machine learning,” Journal of Korea Multimedia Society, vol. 24, no. 2, pp. 222-232, 2021, doi: 10.9717/kmms, 2021.
  8. V. S. B. Kurukuru, A. Haque, M. A. Khan, S. Sahoo, A. Malik and F. Blaabjerg, “A review on Artificial Intelligence applications for grid-connected solar photovoltaic systems,” Energies, vol. 14, pp. 1-35, 2021, doi: 10.3390/en14154690.
  9. R. J. Mustafa, M. R. Gomaa, M. Al-Dhaifallah and H. Rezk, “Environmental impacts on the performance of solar photovoltaic systems,” Sustainability, vol. 12, no. 2, p. 2020, doi: 10.3390/su12020608, 2020.
  10. S. K. Jogunuri, “Artificial intelligence methods for solar forecasting for optimum sizing of PV systems: A review,” Research Journal Of Chemistry And Environment, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 174-180, 2020.
Posted in AI

Smart Cities Optimization With Artificial Intelligence

The transformation of work networks from monolithic systems to intricate yet decentralized eWork networks would help individuals transition to cleaner and more efficient environments. Optimization is a large component that is critical for smart cities to develop. Artificial intelligence uses deep learning to determine various efficient options in a smart city. For instance, using ant systems would enable developers to integrate various home nodes and goal nodes based on the system’s task within the city. The system would have autonomy and gauge the best and shortest path to achieve goals, focusing on this path using increased pheromone development at the best path (Complex systems and AI, 2021). These systems would be reinforcing, constantly adapting based on the task at hand, with a single home node to return once the task is complete (Nof et al., 2016). By allowing the system to seek paths to conduct a task randomly, they would autonomously learn which paths to take to achieve a particular goal. The interconnected nature of this system also helps propagate the ant system as various agents would seek the path of least resistance to task completion.

Gathering a lot of information would aid the machines to integrate deeply into human functions, further boosting their capacity to provide optimal solutions to dynamic activities around the cities. Furthermore, it is important to address ant systems’ capacity to boost collaboration and information synthesis (Nof et al., 2016). Different agents would provide pheromones (information) to deal with a problem. These systems cannot collapse simultaneously and cause the entire destruction of a smart city’s infrastructure due to an error. As in the ant colony, the system would involve a collaboration mechanism that allows varying paths to be calculated. The system would correct any errors posited by some agents by limiting information in subsequent periods that would lead to these results. This mechanism would prohibit reinforcement of these traits, allowing the machines to optimize the solutions to a problem while deviating from established errors (Campisi et al., 2021). The dynamic form of these systems would allow the machines to develop complex ‘thoughts’, enabling them to reason and determine the best courses of action for repetitive activities.

The ant colony also exhibits autonomy regarding duty allocation, a concept that would inspire efficient protocols for buildings. Programming different agents to perform particular activities and providing them with pheromones (subnet capacity information) allows them to discern their purpose (Nof et al., 2016). The agent would replicate itself to determine every possible path to the last step in its purpose. Supposing the proceeding step was the acquisition of materials, it would determine the best place to purchase these materials focusing on quality and quantity. It would clone itself and use every possible path to gauge the best supplier of these materials and make a purchase through their system (Alanne & Sierla, 2022). The ant agent would replicate itself from the current step and look for optimal paths to reach the arrival resource, conduct repairs, or build infrastructure. The system becomes more knowledgeable with each clone cycle, enabling it to deal with issues required in the building process dynamically.

Bio-inspired protocols enable risk diversification as the system is fragmented into autonomous units. While every agent has a particular purpose, they coalesce into one unit at the arrival node. The agents can work fast because they do not have to make differing computations and focus on a particular task. Optimization of each section in the system is ensured through a control center that reinforces positive information and weakens erroneous paths. In this way, the system can dynamically shift based on the developer’s needs, a critical notion for smart cities and buildings.

References

Alanne, K., & Sierla, S. (2022). . Sustainable Cities and Society, 76, 103445.

Campisi, T., Severino, A., Al-Rashid, M. A., & Pau, G. (2021). . Infrastructures, 6(7), 100.

Complex systems and AI. (2021). Complex systems and AI.

Nof, S. Y., Ceroni, J., Jeong, W., & Moghaddam, M. (2016). Revolutionizing collaboration through E-work, e-business, and e-service. Springer Berlin.

Posted in AI

The Age of Artificial Intelligence (AI)

Introduction

Advancements in technology have helped human beings ease their social and economic activities. While technological adoption can be complicated, advanced mechanisms such as AI positively impact communication, transport, and medicine, among other crucial societal institutions. “In the Age of AI” by Frontline PBS presents the impact of AI in entertainment, marketing, and financial transactions, among others. AI technology remains a hallmark in human society and helps conduct complicated activities such as human identification. Therefore, AI remains a significant technology in humanity that has transformed various industries.

AI and Human Society

The film “In the Age of AI” exhibits the importance of AI in transforming society. According to the documentary producers, AI technology will fundamentally and drastically shape human society for various reasons. First, AI will transform human society since it has simplified complex processes. AI has been adopted by various giant corporations in China and the world at large to transform communication, fiscal transactions, and processing, among other activities. The gaming industry has benefitted from AI through the development of algorithms that test the limit of human intelligence (Frontline PBS 5:30-5:58). Second, the technology has led to a political rift between superpower countries, the U.S. and China. Consequently, the two countries have taken strategic steps to outdo each other and improve the livelihoods of its citizens through technology. The producers believe that AI will significantly shape human society because it has simplified complex processes and led to new technological developments in the U.S. and China.

Finally, the producers believe that AI will drastically shape human society through the increased unemployment rate. Many workers have been left jobless since their employers have adopted automation (Frontline PBS 54:47-55:57). Consequently, many people have been forced to lower their living standards to manage their limited earnings. Moreover, jobless workers have developed psychological disorders such as depression, among others (Frontline PBS 57:00-1:00). The documentary producers’ thoughts on AI are consistent with mine. I believe that while the technology has benefits, it has increased social problems. Therefore, the new technologies must consider the negative impacts on humanity and minimize the chances of harming their users.

AI in Transport Industry

The documentary’s segment that discusses how AI technology has revolutionized the transport industry is interesting. The video segment presents the enormous AI’s capability to save human lives in the transport sector. According to the documentary, AI integration in the transport sector has made it easier and safer for people to move and communicate across the world (Frontline PBS 12:03-12:10). The adoption of autonomous cars has led to increased comfort among drivers and travelers (Frontline PBS 12:04-14:00). Moreover, the use of automatic cars and roads with sensors has helped human beings evade accidents. Consequently, various governments promote the adoption of AI in the road industry to protect their citizens from accidents.

Meanwhile, the air transport industry benefits from AI through the use of complex systems that simulate piloting. The industry records the least number of accidents due to the installation of auto-pilot systems in planes. The impact of AI on the transport industry is an interesting topic since all human activities are dependent on the road, rail, and air modes of transportation. Additionally, the topic presents the possibility of enormous developments that would shift human society from depending on non-renewable sources of energy. Therefore, integrating AI into the transport industry would promote economic development while protecting many people from accidents.

AI and Cultural Elements

Developments in AI technology have shaped various cultural elements such as an individual’s identity, social environment, and social control, among others. Individuals’ identity involves self-image and personal beliefs about themselves (Falk 732). AI has influenced personal perceptions among people who use it. Various computer games are intellectually advanced, making players perceive themselves as smarter than others. The social environment involves the immediate settings in which individuals live and grow. AI has influenced the social environment by transforming the educational and economic, among other sectors. For instance, social media platforms have been used to promote diversity and social harmony. However, various social media platforms have been used to spread social vices, such as racism. AI technologies are significant in enhancing social interactions among human beings.

Furthermore, AI has been used for social control to maintain law and order. The use of facial recognition and automated databases helps in intelligent services. Additionally, the use of CCTV cameras and security systems helps reduce cases of theft. The government and non-governmental organizations utilize the AI platforms to sensitize the public on the negative effects of crimes and other unwanted social behaviors (Frontline PBS 1:17:46- 1:20:24). Although AI has positively influenced society, the technology has been used to conduct social vices such as fraud, among other cybercrimes. Therefore, AI should be encouraged while minding its negative impacts on society.

Conclusion

AI is pivotal in human economic and social development. Technology has significantly influenced transport, health, and marketing activities, among others. China and U.S. are the greatest competing giants in AI technology. Countries with AI have effective communication and transport networks. Although AI is beneficial, it has led to various social problems such as joblessness. Consequently, many people develop psychological disorders due to lower living standards and increased unemployment rates. Therefore, the adoption of AI is important but should be done with much caution.

Works Cited

Falk, Armin. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, vol. 186, 2021, pp. 724-734.

YouTube, uploaded by Frontline PBS, 2019.

Posted in AI

Artificial Intelligence in Marketing

Artificial intelligence in marketing is a method of using customer data and AI concepts, including machine learning, to predict the next step of the consumer and meet his needs, even those that the consumer has not yet formulated. The evolution of Big data and advanced analytical solutions have enabled marketers to create a clearer picture of their target audience than ever before. It is advisable to consider in more detail the tools of artificial intelligence used by large companies for a deep understanding of consumers.

Marketers are trying to understand the vast repository of data understand the root cause and likelihood of repeating certain actions, so machine learning platforms are needed to help identify trends or common events and anticipate key ideas and reactions (Ma & Sun, 2020). Machine learning can be used not only to reveal previously hidden ideas but also to teach and implement open ideas in new PR campaigns, optimizing consumer reach, focusing only on relevant users.

Big data is a concept of the ability of marketers to aggregate and segment large amounts of data with minimal manual consumption. In the digital economy, there are thousands of data points attached to the target audience that can be accurately analyzed by bots to understand which message someone will like (Wirth, 2018). Marketers can then use this data to deliver the right message to the right person at the right time on the chosen channel.

Numerous elements and factors are now influencing the current reality of companies in the market. They’re complicated, highly connected, and can be tough to quantify. One of the issues that managers confront is predicting the precise direction of the business or product in a small amount of time utilizing a complicated system of data sources. Many learning algorithms are meant to identify trends from a large number of inputs and assist marketers in forecasting the desired future. Suggestions are a great illustration of how AI may be used in marketing (Wirth, 2018). E-commerce sites, blogs, social networks, and media sites use artificial intelligence to analyze consumers’ online activities and recommend products and content for better conversion, as well as to spend more time on their sites. Tracking content with AI will help you better connect with visitors to specific sites and show them more relevant content.

Coca-Cola is an example of a company that uses AI for business analysis. With 500 brands and a customer base in 200 countries, the company operates a huge amount of data. Experts use AI and big data technology to develop new products (Leadbeater, 2021). Cherry Sprite, for example, was launched based on data from vending machines in which customers mixed drinks to their liking.

The more information is invested in the training of the chatbot, the better it performs its duties. Experts advise launching chatbots at certain points in the sales funnel. This will help you sell more and improve your conversion rates. For example, Google Play uses AI to help customers find the app they want and share their music (Wiggers, 2019). AI offers music based on past searches, time of day, and genres that people have listened to before.

Hence, due to AI, marketers have the opportunity to interact with consumers at every stage of the buying and selling process, based on personalized information about the geography, demographic status, needs, preferences of consumers. AI will be able to better determine what kind of material is most appealing to clients based on their demands, allowing you to track official websites for each individual user. This will enhance sales in the digital environment by giving them precisely what they want.

Question

Do you believe AI will be able to fully replace marketers from the sphere of online marketing? Why?

References

Leadbeater, S. (2021). . Telefonica Tech.

Ma, L., & Sun, B. (2020). Machine learning and AI in marketing – Connecting computing power to human insights. International Journal of Research in Marketing, 37(3), 481–504.

Wiggers, K. (2019). . Venture Beat.

Wirth, N. (2018). Hello marketing, what can artificial intelligence help you with? International Journal of Market Research, 60(5), 435–438.

Posted in AI

Artificial Intelligence and Gamification in Hiring

Introduction

It is no secret that science as a social institution occupies a specific niche in society, and the results of its activities permeate all aspects of society’s and an individual’s personal life. Thus, for instance, today, using artificial intelligence (AI) and gamification is perceived as a new trend in selecting and hiring personnel. Such a phenomenon implies the integration of game mechanics into a “non-game” environment. On the one hand, such hiring methods solve several problems: sifting out candidates who do not fit the competencies and checking their hard and soft skills. On the other hand, introducing these scientific discoveries and innovative technologies into the hiring practice is unethical and immoral since it often gives inaccurate information about peoples’ abilities, violates data privacy laws, contradicts a person’s right to self-determination, impairs human freedom, and much more (Hunkenschroer and Kriebitz 4). It is noteworthy that Mary Shelley spoke about such moments more than 200 years ago in her book Frankenstein, where science is connected with madness and what can become harmful to society. AI and gamification in hiring is a current issue related to science and morality, indirectly echoing the central idea of Mary Shelley’s Frankenstein.

Evidence

AI and Gamification in Hiring today represent an ethical dilemma since, on the one hand, it simplifies HR tasks. Still, on the other hand, it affects ethical and moral aspects when hiring. Some companies, with the help of scientific discoveries, use neurological games or emotion recognition, with which they evaluate a candidate’s abilities. However, if one takes these processes to extremes, it may happen that a machine will take into account a candidacy based not on a person’s talents, education, or work experience but on the answers in a game, which is fundamentally not a 100% objective judgment (Taylor 1). Furthermore, technologies sometimes go beyond what is allowed, and AI, like a person, can make mistakes and miss talents. Thus, these innovations include ethical issues such as surveillance, bias, discrimination, manipulation, deception, and privacy issues.

It is evident that the connection between the current scientific controversy and the work by Mary Shelley is expressed in a conflict between science and morality in the context of the desire to penetrate the secrets of the nature of living beings through inventions and games in God. Victor Frankenstein is obsessed with science so much that he does not think about moral principles, and in his words, a reader sees audacious ideas of likening his person to the Lord. Thus, in chapter 19, he says: “My labour was already considerably advanced […] I looked towards its completion with a tremulous and eager hope, which I dared not trust myself to question but which was intermixed with obscure forebodings of evil.” (Wollstonecraft Shelley 1). He can create life out of death, but he realizes that such work is connected rather with dark forces.

Similar motives can be observed when employers use modern technologies to “scan” applicants’ cognitive abilities. Thus, they feel more powerful, like God, by interfering with the nature of a living being. Although they initially have limited capabilities for identifying human abilities, with the help of AI and gamification, broad options are provided. Some employers do not realize how these actions affect ethical and moral aspects, undermining human freedom given by God at birth. With science, employers and Victor cross the line that it is forbidden by nature for a person to step over, boldly invade the sphere of the creator-God, and commit a spiritual crime.

Conclusion

Summarizing the above, one should state that AI and gamification in hiring is an immoral and unethical practices of interacting with potential employees. By their essence and nature, these technologies allow employers to have ample opportunities to analyze human abilities while depriving them of objective judgments in the selection of candidates. Moreover, this problem closely echoes Mary Shelley’s novel, Frankenstein, telling about the conflict between science and morality and what is allowed to man and not.

Works Cited

Hunkenschroer, Anna Lena, and Alexander Kriebitz. “.” AI and Ethics, 2022, pp. 1-15, Web.

Taylor, Michelle. “.” Laboratory Equipment, Web.

Wollstonecraft Shelley, Mary. . Project Gutenberg, 1993. Project Gutenberg, Web.

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Working With Artificial Intelligence (AI)

Summary

The subject of this article is working with artificial intelligence (AI) and claims that AI can be a valuable tool to help people improve their productivity. However, learning how to work with it daily seems challenging (Hutson, 2018). This article uses the interview with Matthew Hutson, CEO of Don Jones & Company, Inc., who has worked with AI for years and has seen its upsides and downsides as an entrepreneur. The text describes how the author was troubled getting used to using AI as a tool for his business (Hutson, 2018). The author now sees it as extremely valuable because it helps him stay focused on what matters most: building products people want.

Relevancy

The researcher’s goal is to explore what it means to be a human in a world where machines are becoming more advanced and capable of doing many tasks better than humans. Small business managers must be able to work with AI to improve their operations and increase profitability (Hutson, 2018). Dealing with the idea of automation in a business setting can be challenging. On the one hand, it means that people can save money and free up time for other tasks. On the other hand, it means that people may need to train their employees to be more efficient or even replace them entirely (Hutson, 2018). The writer argues that small businesses should embrace the potential for automation because it can benefit their bottom line (Hutson, 2018). The article makes an excellent case for this point by citing studies demonstrating how automation has improved productivity in many industries worldwide. However, the author talks about ethical concerns surrounding robots working in sectors such as manufacturing and agriculture due to their lack of empathy toward humans.

The article is excellent for anyone interested in learning more about how Artificial Intelligence operates in the business world. It is clear how AI is already being used to review job applications and other documents, including those from small business owners (Hutson, 2018). The writer demonstrates its relevance by discussing how AI is useful for marketing and legal purposes. This article discusses the impact of artificial intelligence on the future of the workforce, and it explores how it is helpful for businesses in saving money and increasing productivity.

However, the author asserts that this technology can be problematic if a company does not know what they are getting into or how it will affect them and their employees. Due to this ambiguity around AI’s role in society and industry, the author recommends that businesses develop policies around its use to effectively manage its impact on their employees and customers while maintaining a high level (Hutson, 2018). In addition, the article discusses how companies should consider ethical issues when using artificial intelligence. The author further recommends how businesses should use AI to avoid violating laws or regulations.

Reaction

One of the biggest challenges to the development of artificial intelligence is that people are stuck in their old ways. They think they know what they are doing and do not want to change. This situation is where AI Review comes in since it works to help businesses understand how AI can improve their processes and work against them (Hutson, 2018). It allows enterprises to introduce new systems without worrying whether people can pick up on them quickly enough. It further helps understand if people will keep using the same old tools for so long that it becomes difficult for new programs like AI Review to adapt and use them effectively. The article includes some advice for people who want to get into working with artificial intelligence. It includes tips on how to build one’s own AI system, what kinds of things are essential when considering an AI project, and how much time it will take.

Reference

Hutson, M. (2018). Science. 359(6377), 725- 726.

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Would Artificial Intelligence Reduce the Shortage of the Radiologists

Introduction

Artificial intelligence (AI) is a discipline of computer science that uses various technological techniques to create computers that do activities that would typically need human intellect. The term artificial intelligence (AI) refers to computer systems that simulate cognitive capabilities such as learning and problem-solving. The general interest in artificial intelligence (AI) technologies is increasing at a rapid pace. Machine-learning devices have multiplied in medicine, particularly for image processing, heralding new substantial difficulties for the usability of AI in healthcare. This naturally presents a slew of legal and ethical concerns.

As founders of the digital world in healthcare, Radiologists may now welcome AI as a new partner in their profession, along with the possibility for radiology to play a more significant role in healthcare, as demonstrated in a previous article. Nevertheless, there are obstacles to AI use in medicine, particularly in radiology, that are the responsibility of regulatory bodies and legislatures rather than physicians.

The fast advancement of Artificial Intelligence technology and its incorporation into regular medical imaging will have a substantial impact on radiology treatment. The positioning strategy will ensure that doctors successfully move into their new positions as enhanced clinicians. Scarce or non-existent radiography capabilities restrict resource-constrained health organizations’ use of artificial intelligence (AI) for computed tomography. They encounter constraints in terms of local equipment, people knowledge, infrastructure, data innovation, and government rules. The credibility of AI for treatment decisions in health promotion and reduced contexts is impeded by insufficient data variety, opaque AI algorithms, and the restricted engagement of commodity health organizations in AI generation and validation.

Over the last few decades, doctors’ activity has expanded significantly. This is due mainly to an increased frequency of cross-sectional imaging studies, improved image processing difficulty owing to the collection of more enormous databases, and falling imaging payments. The latter requires radiological clinics to boost efficiency to sustain levels of income while restricting their financial options for hiring additional employees. As a result, the total workload per radiologist has grown significantly in recent years. Not unexpectedly, burnout is acknowledged as a growing issue among radiologists. Occupational stress may potentially jeopardize the delivery of safe and effective care that radiologists can give.

AI has enormous potential to improve precision and effectiveness in radiology and has inherent flaws and biases. The widespread application of AI-based intelligent and autonomous systems in radiology raises the danger of systemic mistakes with severe consequences and presents complicated ethical and social challenges. There is currently minimal experience employing AI for patient care in a variety of clinical contexts. An extensive study is required to determine how to best use AI in clinical settings.

Meanwhile, some anticipate that artificial intelligence (AI) will speed up scan times, generate an accurate diagnosis, and reduce radiologists burden. Although there is no evidence to support the claim that AI would reduce effort, it can already significantly influence political and strategic choices. Based on this hypothesis, authorities may indeed decide not to raise, or perhaps limit, the number of citizens who may participate in radiological training courses, limit financial capacity for hiring new radiologists, and further reduce payments for imaging systems.

Why is This Research Needed?

In the 1900s efforts to establish radiography as a specialized field, the theoretical part of capturing analog X-ray images, transferring, and producing pictures on fragile glass plates for later interpretation, needed medically qualified doctors and technicians. As a result the number of radiologists and radiographers available today can not cope with the number of exams required for patients, and we need a new strategy to accommodate AI and the shortage of Radiology staff.

Then revolution in digitalization allowed for the collection of massive amounts of fully digital independent images. A second revolution which is the Internet of Things (IoT) provides high-speed internet enabling equipment to be connected across the globe, and big data become even bigger. And now a third revolution is the technological innovation of AI in radiology.

Findings from the Background Literature Review

Supportive evidence findings from the literature review have shown the main reasons for the shortage of radiology staff to be inadequate remuneration, no privacy, not enough education, increasing aging population, complex funding challenges, reduced reimbursements, increased volume of work, advanced technology, 22% of UK Consultant Radiologist will retire in the next five years, alarm to add to the current shortage.

Supportive evidence findings from the literature review have shown a significant advancement of AI in Radiology. Today, we can use AI support systems for efficient appointments, worklists, standardized image protocols, optimized image acquisition, and dose reduction. Also, AI applications can automatically achieve accurate volume measurements of lesions and brain structures for MS, Alzheimer’s dementia, and trauma accidents. All these AI application advancements will lead to achieving the most excellent efficiency of staff and equipment in radiology.

Supportive evidence findings from the literature review have shown the main obstacles to introducing AI in radiology are the lack of competence of radiology staff, non-recognition of this technology, and incorrect diagnosing results. Also, Cybersecurity might lead to ethical issues because we are using the cloud to send images to AI servers.

Conclusion

Supportive evidence findings from the literature review have shown implementing AI in radiology will have a significant impact, such as incorporating radiology staff in the design and development of AI solutions, reducing errors and bias, increasing accuracy in diagnosing images, improving quality, 90% accuracy rate of diagnosing Neurological diseases by AI application.

References

Kwee, T. C., & Kwee, R. M. (2021). Insights into imaging, 12(1), pp. 1-12. Web.

Mollura, D. J., Culp, M. P., Pollack, E., Battino, G., Scheel, J. R., Mango, V. L., & Dako, F. (2020). ‘Artificial intelligence in low-and middle-income countries: innovating global health radiology’. Radiology, 297(3), pp. 513-520.

Liew, C. (2018). ‘The future of radiology augmented with artificial intelligence: a strategy for success’. European journal of radiology, 102, pp. 152-156.

Pesapane, F., Volonté, C., Codari, M., & Sardanelli, F. (2018).. Insights into imaging, 9(5), pp. 745-753. Web.

Rimmer, A., (2017). BMJ; BMJ, [e-journal] 359, pp.j4683. Web.

Waymel, Q., Badr, S., Demondion, X., Cotten, A., & Jacques, T. (2019). ‘Impact of the rise of artificial intelligence in radiology: what do radiologists think?’. Diagnostic and Interventional Imaging, 100(6), pp. 327-336.

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How Artificial Intelligence Affects the Stock Market

Abstract

Artificial Intelligence (AI) means the modern wide variety of computer applications that have notable machine learning capabilities hence depicting that of human intelligence. The stock market refers to trading platforms where buying and selling of shares can be undertaken by investors. By use of AI, there is a possibility to monitor the trading patterns and predict how markets can be shaped in the future. Many companies such as Kavout and Epoque have embraced the use of AI in their stock trading paraphernalia. Through artificial intelligence, companies have been advantaged to improve their returns on investment. There is a possibility that in the future, AI will empower stock markers further. For instance, due to the current rise of globalization, AI will take all the advanced patterns of cloud computing to give a better analysis of stock management models, investment processes, and fast data speed when it comes to buying and selling of shares.

Introduction

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a wide-range category in computing that is effective in developing smart machines that can undertake tasks that may be human intelligence oriented (Patel et al., 2021). AI enables machines to think humanly, rationally, and act humanly and rationally too. Stock markets refer to where people and institutional investment firms come together to transact in shares in a given public venue. Today, buying and selling of shares exist as electronic marketplace places. Thus, it is important to report on how AI is responsible for enabling machines and equipment used in stock market paraphernalia. AI uses modern microservices architecture and can be subject to cloud software. This paper presents a report on how AI affects stock markets.

Artificial Intelligence Effects on Stock Market

AI can be termed as one of the key components that will shape the future of stock trading. For instance, the use of robotic instruments to analyze a wide variety of data points and implement fine trades is evident as a result of AI (Sushma & Tarun, 2020). Therefore, the optimal price, the analysis predicts markets that have significant accuracy in stock mathematics. Similarly, by the use of AI-centric machines in stock trading, trading companies prevent the risk of giving higher returns. Many companies have embraced AI in trade execution by 27% and decision making, as seen in figure 1 below (Xie & Akiyama, 2021). Thus, as a result of globalization, AI has been able to penetrate the stock markets in all countries hence effective in stock markets.

Artificial intelligence usage in trade execution and decision making 
Figure 1: Artificial intelligence usage in trade execution and decision making

Machine Learning as a Booster in the Subject

Machine learning is developing at a fast pace, and financial firms are not left behind in adopting the new applications. Antony Antenucci, the vice president of Intelenet Global Services supports the idea that the increased intelligence in cloud computing has advanced many sections of stock markets (Sharma & Kaushik, 2017). Antenucci explains that some companies, such as Wall Street realized they could increase their business functions through the use of AI. He says, “they could effectively crunch millions upon millions of data points in real-time and capture information that current statistical models couldn’t” (Patel et al., 2021). Therefore, it means that companies around the world can utilize the new trends to enable smarter trading patterns in the stock market and other fields.

Efficacy of Adopting Machine Learning Technology

By adopting the use of AI, stock markets have been made efficient in buying and selling shares. End-to-end machine learning under the umbrella of AI has given a chance to have quality and quantity data science that can be used in analysis during stock trading (Sharma & Kaushik, 2017). For example, AI information and expertise power have led to the formulation of investment strategies. That is possible by developing a smart asset allocation system using comprehensive learning to forecast the assets of a given portfolio within the stock market (Sushma & Tarun, 2020). Therefore, embracing artificial intelligence in stock trading ensures that stock trading businesses can have a concrete transactions that are supported by the latest trends in cloud computing.

Nowadays, proprietary investment technology can combine AI with an active exchange-traded fund (ETF). The above is possible by processing and accumulating data generated from various sources such as social media, news journals, and financial statement pages (Sushma & Tarun, 2020). Globally, companies can now systemize the trading patterns and investment process to understand the markets and how to manage such companies as it a trend in stock market business, as seen in figure 1 below (Umer et al., 2019). Using the elements highlighted in the paragraph, a business person interested in opening a stock trading firm would utilize the information to determine their starting points.

Applications of artificial intelligence in the financial sector 
Figure 2: Applications of artificial intelligence in the financial sector

Examples of Stock Companies that have Adopted Artificial Intelligence

Companies around the world have adopted the use of AI as one way to ease their trading paraphernalia. For example, Trading Technologies in Chicago acquired Neurensic and developed an AI platform that is capable of identifying complex trading data on a massive scale. The multiple markets that the company indulges in have been able to execute stock elements in time (Thomas, 2021). Additionally, by combining machine learning with cloud-based processing, the firm has enabled its customers to have a comprehensive assessment. Therefore, as shown in figure 2, many firms are embracing AI in to boost their business.

Percentage of firms embracing artificial intelligence 
Figure 3: Percentage of firms embracing artificial intelligence

Another example is Kavout, based in Seattle, which has a ‘K Score’ product of the AI helping in processing massive complex stock data (Bajunaid & Meccawy, 2017). The product on the platform runs a raft of forecasting models to initiate stock-ranking ratings in the market. Due to the utilization of AI, the company can recommend daily top stocks by use of pattern recognition tech power and price predicting elements. All the models of portfolios for the two companies highlighted above are enhanced by AI algorithms (Patel et al., 2021). Therefore, the information above shows how AI has affected the stock market in the world. Artificial intelligence is useful in analyzing potential trades in the stock market. Epoque, a company based in Switzerland, has fully automated AI transactions in three categories referred to as engines (Thomas, 2021). First, there is a strategy engine that observes and offers analysis of trades. The second is an older engine that is tasked with developing orders and undertaking operational activities. Lastly, there is the logical engine that can handle running orders and utilizes AI to improve the speed of the performance.

Impact on the Stock Market

The current trend in the current stock market experience has taken the industry to another level. Companies nowadays have adopted more complex computing skills powered by AI. Infinite Alpha, a stock company, uses AI to enable crypto asset trading. Therefore, the firm can offer protection to investors by utilizing advanced authentication and encryption and other digital modules (Thomas, 2021). In this case, using the AI-geared intuitive dashboard, the users can access their account and see the transactions and also the balances and stock histories concerning their trade. Generally, it shows that AI can be segmented further into various categories that can be deployed independently to provide the desired work programmed in stock market companies (Bajunaid & Meccawy, 2017). Thus, stock markets with AI are more advanced than the old-fashioned monolithic applications that were less capable compared to the cloud-based architecture used today.

Drawbacks of Artificial Intelligence Might Have on Stock Markets

Reduced Benefits Due to Cyber Issues

Applications powered by AI might change many factions of stock markets as this happens. First, due to the speed of analysis, forecasts, and investment issues, investors may find in the future that medium-term benefits will be below the expectations of the competitive base set by other stock trading firms (Sushma & Tarun, 2020). Therefore, there might be a push for the businesses to return to old ways of getting a financial adviser who will be suggesting the portfolio mix in stock trading due to the uncertainty of machine learning in the stock market. It is important to note that due to cyber issues, AI has been at risk of letting computer technicians with ill-fated intentions hack data, which can lead to loss of resources (Umer et al., 2019). Due to the power of microservices architecture, the stock markets might be overweighed by cybercrime to establish anti-phishing attacks that may yield to the collapse of investment.

The decline in Portfolio Payoff

When using AI, there is a high possibility that portfolio payoff may decline. When excluding microcaps, 62% of the payoff may go down hence disappearing returns (Xie & Akiyama, 2021). That means stocks can be difficult to trade as they might have negligible market capitalizations. When excluding non-rated firms, it might be 68% lower and 80% for distressed firms around credit cap elements (Xie & Akiyama, 2021). According to research, machine learning in stock markets may only be profitable when there is high investor sentiment and low market liquidity, among other factors. Therefore, despite AI’s powerful rise in stock trading, the subject has drawbacks on the same.

Cross-sectional Return receptibility

Artificial Intelligence may not solve everything in the stock market. It can only be valuable for real-time business, risk control, and established firms. The reason is that machine learning specializes in stock picking rather than industry rotation. Strategies that seek to maximize the next-level economic cycles may be unable to move funds equally in the industry (Sharma & Kaushik, 2017). Therefore, it is important to note that machine learning in stock markets may face the challenge of cross-sectional return receptibility hence making stock to be difficult to arbitrage in investment areas.

Conclusion

Artificial Intelligence in the stock market has played a key role in advancing the trading of shares. Through AI, investors can create strategies that can help analyze complex trading data and investment sequences. Stock market companies such as Kavout and Epoque have been boosted after adopting machine learning in their stock trading business. There are challenges of AI in the subject as they may have cross-sectional return forecast made hard to actualize by the investors. Additionally, the rise of cybercrime raises concern over many issues as some financial data might be manipulated.

Recommendations

Due to the continued embracing of AI in the stock market, it is important for modern-day companies to have machine learning power in their business. By 2025, stock markets shall be at a point where the business shall be conducted more efficiently than it is now. The following list shows recommendations for the report. The recommendations can be useful if utilized in the right way.

  1. Industries should embrace the use of AI as it ensures effective transaction and analysis of complex data
  2. The use of AI should be scrutinized keenly to avoid liabilities such as loss of resources such as money invested
  3. It is important to have modern microservices in stock computing as it shows the history and can forecast the future.

References

Bajunaid, W., & Meccawy, M. (2017). How to utilize big data for business intelligence in the stock market. International Journal of Computer Applications, 166(9), 13-16. Web.

Patel, A., Patel, D., & Yadav, S. (2021). Prediction of the stock market using artificial intelligence. SSRN Electronic Journal, 5(11), 3. Web.

Sharma, S., & Kaushik, B. (2017). . Journal Of Artificial Intelligence, 11(1), 48-54. Web.

Sushma Jaiswal, & Tarun Jaiswal. (2020). Review on machine learning techniques for stock-market forecasting. Artificial Intelligence Evolution, 9(2), 34-47. Web.

Thomas, M. (2021). How AI trading technology is making stock market investors smarter. Built-In. Web.

Umer, M., Awais, M., & Muzammul, M. (2019). . ADCAIJ: Advances in Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence Journal, 8(4), 97-116. Web.

Xie, F., & Akiyama, E. (2021). How price limits affect the behaviors of a market with differences in the speed of information acquisition: An approach with the artificial market (An agent-based model for financial market). Transactions Of the Japanese Society for Artificial Intelligence, 36(5), 1-8. Web.

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Artificial Intelligence as a Tool in Healthcare

Nowadays, Artificial Intelligence (AI) is widely implemented in the healthcare industry chain to improve nursing care on a unit level. In fact, AI is a technology that can store information and convert it to create strategies or offer relevant solutions to problems. Overall, the implementation of AI and its many kinds of intelligence is beyond beneficial for healthcare units for enhancing patient care within institutions.

To begin with, AI is an efficient technology that can be implemented in healthcare to increase the productivity of employees. To elaborate, the ability of this technology to convert data into knowledge allows AI to guide decisions concerning patient treatment to nurses (Robert, 2019). Additionally, the AI can quickly consider large volumes of data when assessing risks in patient care to save nurses time (Douthit et al., 2022). Besides, robotic process automation (RPA) can be used for delegating simple responsibilities to robots to increase the amount of time doctors actually spend on treating patients (Robert, 2019). Yet, despite the countless advantages of AI implementation in healthcare, there are many drawbacks that units have to consider (Douthit et al., 2022). To be more exact, the first disadvantage of this technology is it is not entirely reliable and may fail due to cyberattacks or other technical errors, even when employed in healthcare. Moreover, AI, as a virtual form of intelligence, can become corrupted, which may lead to many negative repercussions within the institutions.

In summary, AI is a beneficial tool in healthcare as it provides institutions with many advantages and less complicated operations. The technology can assist in storing medical data and transforming it into knowledge, which can then be used to plan patient treatments and assess risks of nursing care. Still, the entire dependence on AI for healthcare units is not advisable as technology tends to be unreliable and fails when any errors occur.

References

Douthit, B. J., Shaw, R. J., Lytle, K. S., Richesson, R. L., & Cary, M. P. (2022). . American Nurse. Web.

Robert, N. (2019). Nursing Management, 50(9), 30–39. Web.

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